Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.029443 0.031726 0.034113 0.036800 0.039742 0.042872 0.046457
2025-02-09 0.025517 0.028725 0.032260 0.036457 0.041323 0.046805 0.053479
2025-02-16 0.022960 0.026703 0.030990 0.036294 0.042716 0.050290 0.059970
2025-02-23 0.020992 0.025055 0.029857 0.035998 0.043705 0.053146 0.065716
2025-03-02 0.019558 0.023864 0.029091 0.035968 0.044875 0.056154 0.071733
2025-03-09 0.018156 0.022572 0.028056 0.035452 0.045295 0.058129 0.076441
2025-03-16 0.016885 0.021339 0.026983 0.034761 0.045366 0.059565 0.080429
2025-03-23 0.015920 0.020427 0.026244 0.034427 0.045843 0.061512 0.085197
2025-03-30 0.015071 0.019608 0.025564 0.034103 0.046269 0.063365 0.089907
2025-04-06 0.014189 0.018689 0.024689 0.033435 0.046139 0.064372 0.093382
2025-04-13 0.013744 0.018337 0.024559 0.033791 0.047476 0.067568 0.100384
2025-04-20 0.013208 0.017827 0.024174 0.033746 0.048199 0.069863 0.106119
2025-04-27 0.012842 0.017543 0.024099 0.034154 0.049634 0.073354 0.114092
2025-05-04 0.012281 0.016952 0.023550 0.033820 0.049903 0.075031 0.119194
2025-05-11 0.011814 0.016474 0.023140 0.033666 0.050430 0.077131 0.125155
2025-05-18 0.011350 0.015976 0.022674 0.033394 0.050741 0.078879 0.130617
2025-05-25 0.010983 0.015606 0.022379 0.033367 0.051433 0.081288 0.137429
2025-06-01 0.010527 0.015082 0.021825 0.032895 0.051357 0.082374 0.141888
2025-06-08 0.010060 0.014523 0.021192 0.032263 0.050969 0.082882 0.145283
2025-06-15 0.009702 0.014115 0.020775 0.031958 0.051113 0.084321 0.150555
2025-06-22 0.009366 0.013729 0.020376 0.031660 0.051248 0.085739 0.155884
2025-06-29 0.008979 0.013248 0.019806 0.031049 0.050794 0.086050 0.159007
2025-07-06 0.008820 0.013120 0.019794 0.031375 0.052015 0.089518 0.168851